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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
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How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$1.35M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
63 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
24%
chance
Yes
No
$379K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$106
47 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1.87M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
60 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
17%
5 more
$1.21M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
46%
December
12%
5 more
$82K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
43 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
<50
62%
50-74
26%
3 more
$7.7K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
37 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$55K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
50 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
90%
20-40
8%
3 more
$208K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
53 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
31-33
27%
<25
20%
5 more
$8.2K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$93
42 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
220-229
47%
<220
35%
4 more
$5.2K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
43 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
95%
285M
66%
4 more
$7.1K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
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