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Prediction markets
684 active markets
· category “Politics”
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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
10–15s
99%
15s+
1%
5 more
$1.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$18.8M
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
59 trading now
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
99%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
22 more
$67.4M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
72 trading now
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$455K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$468K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
56%
New People (NL)
37%
32 more
$15.7M
Vol.
Sep 20
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
72 trading now
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
61%
Flávio Bolsonaro
27%
30 more
$114.0M
Vol.
Oct 4
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
70 trading now
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Seán Kyne
99%
Sheila Garrity
1%
25 more
$257K
Vol.
Mar 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027
33%
December 31
24%
3 more
$20.0M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
59 trading now
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
73%
chance
Yes
No
$121K
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
50 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
55%
chance
Yes
No
$5.47M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
53 trading now
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$38.8M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
73 trading now
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