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Prediction markets

16 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng98%9 more
$704KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest76%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest22%2 more
$90KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

≤8
38%YesNo
9
13%YesNo
NEW $4.6KVol. Jul 26science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

600mm+43%
525-550mm
525-550mm28%8 more
$18KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$121KVol. Mar 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?

0
48%YesNo
1
35%YesNo
NEW $1.3KVol. Jul 26science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+97%
2000+95%4 more
$21KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"40%
>6"
>6"30%4 more
$26KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31
December 3155%
August 30
August 3050%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5"
<0.5"63%
0.5-1"
0.5-1"20%5 more
$543.19Vol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm85%
40-50mm
40-50mm8%5 more
$6.0KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science